Analysis of SELIC rate, GDP and Inflation in Brazil, from 2007 to 2016
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Abstract
This article aims to identify a relation between changes in the base interest rate (SELIC), in Brazil, on inflation and GDP (Gross Domestic Product), as well as the degree of this relation. In monetary policy context, it is understood that a reduction in the interest rate implies an increase in productive activity and, on the other hand, a tendency towards an increase in inflation. In order to answer this question, Pearson's linear coefficient, which measures the degree of relationship between the variables under study, was used in addition to descriptive analysis. Therefore, it can be concluded that the variation in the interest rate has a greater relation to GDP and a lower relation with inflation.
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